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Investors would be wise to take notice that the U.S. money supply (M2) is growing only at a tepid 3% rate, compared to double-digit percentage rates last year. That situation suggests an economic slowdown here in the United States — good news for the Republicans, but not for investors or for the stock market. In […]
As an investment newsletter editor, I probably lead all other writers in this one category: traveling and speaking. My subscribers constantly are amazed at how often I am away from home attending a conference or visiting a new country. I probably speak at two dozen economic and financial seminars each year. I’m almost constantly on […]
The latest negative market conditions for investors include slowing gross domestic product (GDP) growth and poor employment reports in the United States, as well as bad news in Europe. GDP growth in the United States edged down to just an annual rate of 2.2% during the first quarter of 2012, compared to 3% at the […]
I spent this week in Beverly Hills attending the famous Milken Institute Global Conference, hosted by Michael Milken, and the watch word I heard repeatedly about the U.S. economy was “fiscal cliff.” The huge debt load the United States is facing on top of the trillions in unfunded liabilities is cause for alarm. A crisis […]
I just returned from a trip to Morocco for the first time where I met fellow economists and I tried to procure investing ideas to share with you about emerging markets. The visit marked the 72nd country that I have set foot upon in my well-traveled career. As you may recall from my e-letter last […]
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The world seems to be closely intertwined these days. The economies around the globe meld together and can affect U.S. investors dramatically. The interconnectedness is one reason why I travel internationally to scout out new investment opportunities. I like to talk to people in other countries and to see first hand how economies around the […]
Yesterday, I went to the New York Historical Society in downtown New York, where Amity Shlaes organized the “The 4% Growth Project” via the George W. Bush Center. It was quite the star-studded show. I met President Bush again, plus Karl Rove; Steve Forbes and Rich Karlgaard from Forbes magazine; Rupert Murdoch (!), John Stossel […]
The markets reacted the wrong way yesterday by pulling back when the minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting were released this week. The minutes indicated that the Fed was not planning on launching a third round of quantitative easing (QE3). In my view, the Fed has overindulged with quantitative easing in the past and […]
After dipping last week, stocks are back up after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke announced that the Fed would continue its easy-money policies this year. I’ve already noted how the money supply (M2) is growing rapidly, all apparently in an effort to re-elect President Obama and to help Bernanke keep his job. As a result, the […]
Last week, something happened in the bond market — rates rose sharply across the board for the first time in years. For example, 10-year Treasuries jumped from 1.99% to 2.31%. Talk about March Madness! I think we are seeing the beginning of a major sea change: rising rates as the economy recovers and the Fed’s […]
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